The Oregon Health Authority released its latest COVID-19 forecast.  According to the report, the effective reproduction rate – the expected number of secondary cases that a single case generates – was estimated at 1.21 on Aug. 11, projecting a slight decline in the estimated growth of new cases from last week’s modeling scenario.  At that level of transmission, the report estimates 1,000 cases per 100,000 people, or 3,000 daily cases and 165 hospitalizations by Sept. 7.  The modeling report also predicted a scenario based on a projected increase in facemask use among Oregonians between Aug. 11 and Aug. 31.  If the trend of Oregonians complying with the protective measure were to increase from 49% to 80%, the growth of new daily cases would be somewhat lower – an estimated 850 per 100,000 people. That translates to 2,550 new cases and 135 hospitalizations by Sept. 7.  OHA officials emphasized vaccinations remain the most effective tool for slowing the spread of COVID-19.  To date more than 2.6 million Oregonians have received at least one dose of the vaccine and nearly 2.4 million people have completed a vaccine series.

The Oregon Health Authority says the number of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 went up again in updated statistics Friday, while Oregon surpassed a daily case count of 3,000 for the first time during the pandemic.  The OHA reported 3,207 new confirmed and presumptive cases of COVID-19 as of 12:01 a.m. today, bringing the state pandemic total to 268,401.  Previously, the record was 2,971 new confirmed and presumptive cases on Aug. 19, 2021.  Wasco County reported 26 new COVID cases, Hood River County 14, and Gilliam County 1.  The number of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 across Oregon is 1,098, which is 13 more than yesterday. There are 308 COVID-19 patients in intensive care unit beds, which is nine more than yesterday.  There are 40 available adult ICU beds out of 663 total and 305 available adult non-ICU beds out of 4,279.  There are 20 new COVID-19 related deaths in Oregon, raising the state’s pandemic death toll to 3,115.

Fire officials say the Bull Complex on the Mount Hood National Forest 12 miles northeast of Detroit grew approximately 774 acres on Thursday, putting the size at 8,548 acres.  It’s burning closer to constructed containment lines on the south end of the fire, where firefighters have been creating multiple strategic locations to intercept the main fire when it reaches them.  Fire officials say experienced fire crews, unmanned aircraft and helicopters have strategically burned small areas between the main fire and containment lines over past few days to remove fuel ahead of the main fire.  The south end of the fire is where firefighters are focused most to establish access into the fire’s edge.  Within the 43 total miles of fire perimeter, significant portions of the fire’s perimeter are currently difficult to access and present multiple safety hazards for ground forces.  On the north, east, and west sides of the fire, the fire is burning slow and steady while it moves closer to the 2020 Beachie Creek and Lionshead Fire burn areas that lack available fuels,

People in Oregon will be required to wear masks in most public outdoor settings beginning on Friday in the latest attempt to slow the spread of COVID-19.  The Oregon Health Authority said Tuesday the number of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 across Oregon is now at 1,000, with only seven percent of adult intensive care unit beds and nine percent of adult non-ICU beds currently available.  Governor Kate Brown says the new mandate requires masks for public outdoor settings where individuals from different households are unable to consistently maintain physical distance.  She did say people don’t need to mask up for fleeting pass-bys on a hiking trail or a morning walk in the dog.  But she adds people do need to take responsibility and use a mask where physical distancing is not possible.  While the rule does not apply to outdoor gatherings at private residences, the OHA is strongly recommending people wear a mask in those scenarios.

Hood River County Health Department Health Officer Dr. Christopher Van Tilburg is emphasizing that getting vaccinated against COVID-19 is a better course of action than treatments like monoclonal antibody therapy.  In a Facebook video statement, Van Tilburg says monoclonal therapies are not a substitute for the vaccine.  He points out the monoclonals are derived from either humans who have had coronavirus or mice genetically modified to mimic the human immune system.  Van Tilburg says it is much safer to receive a small piece of RNA from the vaccine.  Van Tilburg also warned against Ivermectin, which he said is meant to be used in humans in small quantities for worm and parasite infections but is not an anti-viral medicine, and can be very toxic if used in large doses meant for livestock.

On Thursday The Dalles Public Works Department will be conducting maintenance on a pressure reducing valve which could result in discoloration of the water supplied to some customers.  The discoloration is caused by air bubbles or sediment which is dislodged when flows in the pipes change.  The discolored water does not pose a health risk.  However, you might want to flush the pipes by running the water for several minutes before drinking or washing to avoid any adverse tastes or discolorations.  If the water does not clear, contact the Public Works office at (541) 296-5401.

North Central Public Health District and other clinics in The Dalles area are offering free name-brand backpacks loaded with school supplies to families who bring in their children for well-child checkups or childhood immunizations.   The backpacks are available at NCPHD, which offers childhood immunizations, and One Community Health in The Dalles and Mid-Columbia Medical Center’s family medicine and pediatrics clinics, which offer immunizations and well-child visits.  The backpacks come with school supplies for both younger and older students, including crayons, pencils, colored pencils, scissors, markers, erasers and rulers.  Supplies are limited, so call your healthcare provider to schedule a well-child visit or immunization, or call NCPHD at 541-506-2600 to schedule an immunization.

Wonderworks Children’s Museum in The Dalles reopened a couple of weeks ago after sixteen months of limited operations due to the pandemic.  Wonderworks board member Nichole Biechler (beek-ler) says the closure allow them an opportunity to refresh their facility and bring in new exhibits.  They include a complete camp space with a linear climbing area, and a stage area where kids can play theater and dress-up.  Biechler says they should be getting another exhibit in the next few days:  big blue blocks she expects will be popular with children.  Wonderworks is located at 206 Madison in The Dalles, and is open from 8 a.m. to noon and 1 p.m. to 5 p.m. Monday through Saturday.  Admission is free this month, plus they are holding a school supply giveaway for elementary school students thanks to a grant from the Oregon Community Foundation.

Mid-Columbia Community Action and the City of The Dalles are sifting through possible properties for a location to house a “navigation center” for the homeless.  Community Action has received a one-point-five million dollar grant from the state for the facility, and more funding is being sought to be able to get to two-point-five million.  The Dalles Mayor Rich Mays says they started with a list of fifteen possible properties and they narrowed it down to four or five potential locations.  The center would include a shelter location plus wrap-around services for homeless people, along with administrative offices for Mid-Columbia Community Action.

Clear skies Monday brought warmer temperatures to the Bull Complex Fire on the Mount Hood National Forest twelve miles northeast of Detroit, leading to increased fire activity.  Fire officials say it grew about 300 acres Monday to 6,969 acres.  Helicopters dropped water on active flames to decrease fire intensity.  Today’s weather was to be similar to yesterdays, then a weak front will move through this evening, bringing slightly higher wind gusts but also higher relative humidity.  Firefighters continue to implement indirect containment, using natural features, such as ridges or waterways, and manmade clearings, such as roads.  A total of 463 personnel are assigned to the fire.